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Genoa – Atalanta

Serie A · May 17, 2025

Genoa 2–3 Atalanta

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Genoa 20% X · 26% 2 · Atalanta 54%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score49%
Expected goals0.91 – 1.67
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 11, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.