Genoa – Cagliari
Serie A · January 12, 2026
Genoa
3–0
Cagliari
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Genoa 40%
X · 30%
2 · Cagliari 30%
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% |
| Both teams to score | 46% |
| Expected goals | 1.23 – 1.02 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
January 10, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.