Certor

Genoa – Empoli

Serie A · March 2, 2025

Genoa 1–1 Empoli

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Genoa 43% X · 31% 2 · Empoli 26%
Over 2.5 goals35%
Both teams to score43%
Expected goals1.22 – 0.89
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 1, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.