Certor

Genoa – Fiorentina

Serie A · October 31, 2024

Genoa 0–1 Fiorentina

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Genoa 24% X · 28% 2 · Fiorentina 48%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Both teams to score49%
Expected goals0.97 – 1.46
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 26, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.