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Genoa – Lecce

Serie A · March 14, 2025

Genoa 2–1 Lecce

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Genoa 42% X · 32% 2 · Lecce 26%
Over 2.5 goals34%
Both teams to score42%
Expected goals1.19 – 0.88
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 8, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.