Certor

Genoa – Milan

Serie A · May 17, 2026

Genoa 1–2 Milan

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Genoa 23% X · 27% 2 · Milan 50%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Both teams to score49%
Expected goals0.97 – 1.54
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 17, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.