Certor

Genoa – Monza

Serie A · March 9, 2024

Genoa 2–3 Monza

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Genoa 37% X · 30% 2 · Monza 33%
Over 2.5 goals38%
Both teams to score46%
Expected goals1.15 – 1.07
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 9, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.