Certor

Genoa – Napoli

Serie A · August 22, 2026

Genoa 0–2 Napoli

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Genoa 18% X · 26% 2 · Napoli 56%
Over 2.5 goals42%
Both teams to score43%
Expected goals0.78 – 1.58
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 22, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.