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Genoa – Salernitana

Serie A · October 27, 2023

Genoa 1–0 Salernitana

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Genoa 46% X · 28% 2 · Salernitana 26%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Both teams to score49%
Expected goals1.42 – 1.01
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 21, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.