Certor

Genoa – Torino

Serie A · February 22, 2026

Genoa 3–0 Torino

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Genoa 36% X · 30% 2 · Torino 34%
Over 2.5 goals38%
Both teams to score46%
Expected goals1.12 – 1.09
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 21, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.