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Gil Vicente – Casa Pia

Primeira Liga · September 22, 2024

Gil Vicente 1–1 Casa Pia

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Gil Vicente 45% X · 27% 2 · Casa Pia 28%
Over 2.5 goals37%
Both teams to score42%
Expected goals1.27 – 0.92
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 20, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.