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Gil Vicente – Estrela

Primeira Liga · October 4, 2025

Gil Vicente 2–0 Estrela

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Gil Vicente 51% X · 28% 2 · Estrela 21%
Over 2.5 goals33%
Both teams to score37%
Expected goals1.31 – 0.72
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 4, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.