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Gil Vicente – Famalicao

Primeira Liga · February 1, 2026

Gil Vicente 5–0 Famalicao

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Gil Vicente 38% X · 28% 2 · Famalicao 34%
Over 2.5 goals37%
Both teams to score44%
Expected goals1.12 – 1.06
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 1, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.