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Gil Vicente – Sp Braga

Primeira Liga · February 14, 2026

Gil Vicente 2–1 Sp Braga

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Gil Vicente 26% X · 25% 2 · Sp Braga 49%
Over 2.5 goals47%
Both teams to score50%
Expected goals1.03 – 1.53
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 8, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.