Certor

Girona – Alaves

La Liga · December 18, 2023

Girona 3–0 Alaves

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Girona 61% X · 23% 2 · Alaves 16%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams to score49%
Expected goals1.86 – 0.86
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 15, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.