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Girona – Barcelona

La Liga · February 16, 2026

Girona 2–1 Barcelona

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Girona 17% X · 19% 2 · Barcelona 64%
Over 2.5 goals68%
Both teams to score62%
Expected goals1.17 – 2.35
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 13, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.