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Groningen – Heracles

Eredivisie · April 23, 2025

Groningen 4–1 Heracles

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Groningen 40% X · 29% 2 · Heracles 31%
Over 2.5 goals45%
Both teams to score51%
Expected goals1.32 – 1.14
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 19, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.