Guimaraes – Alverca
Primeira Liga · February 28, 2026
Guimaraes
1–1
Alverca
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Guimaraes 60%
X · 22%
2 · Alverca 18%
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Both teams to score | 47% |
| Expected goals | 1.80 – 0.84 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
February 22, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.