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Guimaraes – Arouca

Primeira Liga · August 8, 2026

Guimaraes 0–1 Arouca

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Guimaraes 52% X · 23% 2 · Arouca 25%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams to score53%
Expected goals1.66 – 1.06
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 8, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.