Certor

Guimaraes – Benfica

Primeira Liga · February 11, 2024

Guimaraes 2–2 Benfica

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Guimaraes 17% X · 21% 2 · Benfica 62%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams to score47%
Expected goals0.84 – 1.84
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 11, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.