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Guimaraes – Casa Pia

Primeira Liga · March 1, 2025

Guimaraes 1–0 Casa Pia

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Guimaraes 50% X · 26% 2 · Casa Pia 24%
Over 2.5 goals43%
Both teams to score46%
Expected goals1.46 – 0.93
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 23, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.