Certor

Guimaraes – Chaves

Primeira Liga · October 28, 2023

Guimaraes 5–0 Chaves

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Guimaraes 55% X · 23% 2 · Chaves 22%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams to score50%
Expected goals1.69 – 0.98
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 27, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.