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Guimaraes – Estoril

Primeira Liga · October 1, 2023

Guimaraes 3–2 Estoril

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Guimaraes 53% X · 24% 2 · Estoril 23%
Over 2.5 goals47%
Both teams to score48%
Expected goals1.60 – 0.94
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 30, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.