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Guimaraes – Estoril

Primeira Liga · August 16, 2025

Guimaraes 3–2 Estoril

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Guimaraes 54% X · 23% 2 · Estoril 23%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams to score52%
Expected goals1.70 – 1.02
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 15, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.