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Guimaraes – Nacional

Primeira Liga · December 23, 2024

Guimaraes 2–2 Nacional

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Guimaraes 65% X · 21% 2 · Nacional 14%
Over 2.5 goals47%
Both teams to score42%
Expected goals1.85 – 0.70
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 21, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.