Certor

Guimaraes – Portimonense

Primeira Liga · September 17, 2023

Guimaraes 1–2 Portimonense

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Guimaraes 57% X · 24% 2 · Portimonense 19%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Both teams to score44%
Expected goals1.60 – 0.81
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 16, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.