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Hamburg – FC Koln

Bundesliga · March 14, 2026

Hamburg 1–1 FC Koln

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Hamburg 44% X · 29% 2 · FC Koln 27%
Over 2.5 goals47%
Both teams to score53%
Expected goals1.47 – 1.10
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 13, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.