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Hamburg – Heidenheim

Bundesliga · September 20, 2025

Hamburg 2–1 Heidenheim

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Hamburg 26% X · 33% 2 · Heidenheim 41%
Over 2.5 goals35%
Both teams to score43%
Expected goals0.89 – 1.19
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 19, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.