Hamburg – Mainz
Bundesliga · October 5, 2025
Hamburg
4–0
Mainz
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Hamburg 23%
X · 31%
2 · Mainz 46%
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% |
| Both teams to score | 46% |
| Expected goals | 0.89 – 1.37 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
October 3, 2025.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.