Hamburg – Union Berlin
Bundesliga · February 14, 2026
Hamburg
3–2
Union Berlin
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Hamburg 40%
X · 32%
2 · Union Berlin 28%
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% |
| Both teams to score | 47% |
| Expected goals | 1.25 – 1.02 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
February 13, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.