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Heerenveen – Heracles

Eredivisie · April 5, 2026

Heerenveen 4–1 Heracles

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Heerenveen 63% X · 20% 2 · Heracles 17%
Over 2.5 goals68%
Both teams to score62%
Expected goals2.34 – 1.15
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 4, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.