Certor

Heerenveen – Zwolle

Eredivisie · February 15, 2026

Heerenveen 4–2 Zwolle

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Heerenveen 50% X · 23% 2 · Zwolle 27%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Both teams to score62%
Expected goals1.85 – 1.30
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 14, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.