Certor

Heidenheim – Darmstadt

Bundesliga · December 9, 2023

Heidenheim 3–2 Darmstadt

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Heidenheim 59% X · 23% 2 · Darmstadt 18%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Both teams to score60%
Expected goals2.10 – 1.11
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 8, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.