Certor

Heidenheim – Hoffenheim

Bundesliga · August 26, 2023

Heidenheim 2–3 Hoffenheim

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Heidenheim 15% X · 26% 2 · Hoffenheim 59%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Both teams to score46%
Expected goals0.79 – 1.74
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 25, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.