Certor

Heidenheim – Hoffenheim

Bundesliga · March 7, 2026

Heidenheim 2–4 Hoffenheim

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Heidenheim 26% X · 25% 2 · Hoffenheim 49%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Both teams to score63%
Expected goals1.31 – 1.83
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 6, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.