Certor

Heidenheim – Leverkusen

Bundesliga · February 17, 2024

Heidenheim 1–2 Leverkusen

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Heidenheim 21% X · 25% 2 · Leverkusen 54%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Both teams to score58%
Expected goals1.10 – 1.87
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 17, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.