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Heidenheim – Mainz

Bundesliga · May 16, 2026

Heidenheim 0–2 Mainz

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Heidenheim 31% X · 28% 2 · Mainz 41%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams to score56%
Expected goals1.26 – 1.47
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 16, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.