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Heidenheim – Union Berlin

Bundesliga · April 11, 2026

Heidenheim 3–1 Union Berlin

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Heidenheim 32% X · 30% 2 · Union Berlin 38%
Over 2.5 goals43%
Both teams to score50%
Expected goals1.15 – 1.26
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 11, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.