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Heracles – Ajax

Eredivisie · April 11, 2026

Heracles 0–3 Ajax

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Heracles 14% X · 19% 2 · Ajax 67%
Over 2.5 goals69%
Both teams to score61%
Expected goals1.09 – 2.46
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 11, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.