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Heracles – AZ Alkmaar

Eredivisie · April 3, 2024

Heracles 5–0 AZ Alkmaar

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Heracles 15% X · 22% 2 · AZ Alkmaar 63%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Both teams to score55%
Expected goals0.95 – 2.12
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 30, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.