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Heracles – AZ Alkmaar

Eredivisie · April 13, 2025

Heracles 1–0 AZ Alkmaar

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Heracles 19% X · 23% 2 · AZ Alkmaar 58%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Both teams to score56%
Expected goals1.04 – 1.96
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 12, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.