Heracles – Excelsior
Eredivisie · March 20, 2026
Heracles
1–1
Excelsior
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Heracles 43%
X · 25%
2 · Excelsior 32%
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% |
| Both teams to score | 60% |
| Expected goals | 1.62 – 1.36 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
March 14, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.