Certor

Heracles – Sparta Rotterdam

Eredivisie · December 2, 2023

Heracles 0–1 Sparta Rotterdam

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Heracles 30% X · 27% 2 · Sparta Rotterdam 43%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Both teams to score58%
Expected goals1.27 – 1.54
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 2, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.