Certor

Heracles – Twente

Eredivisie · January 18, 2026

Heracles 0–2 Twente

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Heracles 22% X · 22% 2 · Twente 56%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Both teams to score61%
Expected goals1.20 – 2.04
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 17, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.