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Hoffenheim – Bayern Munich

Bundesliga · September 20, 2025

Hoffenheim 1–4 Bayern Munich

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Hoffenheim 11% X · 14% 2 · Bayern Munich 75%
Over 2.5 goals81%
Both teams to score68%
Expected goals1.21 – 3.14
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 19, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.