Certor

Hoffenheim – Darmstadt

Bundesliga · December 19, 2023

Hoffenheim 3–3 Darmstadt

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Hoffenheim 74% X · 16% 2 · Darmstadt 10%
Over 2.5 goals73%
Both teams to score61%
Expected goals2.80 – 1.01
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 15, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.