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Hoffenheim – Dortmund

Bundesliga · September 29, 2023

Hoffenheim 1–3 Dortmund

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Hoffenheim 29% X · 24% 2 · Dortmund 47%
Over 2.5 goals70%
Both teams to score70%
Expected goals1.59 – 2.05
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 29, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.