Certor

Hoffenheim – Freiburg

Bundesliga · August 19, 2023

Hoffenheim 1–2 Freiburg

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Hoffenheim 44% X · 27% 2 · Freiburg 29%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Both teams to score63%
Expected goals1.72 – 1.38
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 18, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.