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Hoffenheim – Leverkusen

Bundesliga · January 17, 2026

Hoffenheim 1–0 Leverkusen

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Hoffenheim 27% X · 23% 2 · Leverkusen 50%
Over 2.5 goals69%
Both teams to score69%
Expected goals1.50 – 2.08
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 16, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.