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Hoffenheim – M'gladbach

Bundesliga · January 14, 2026

Hoffenheim 5–1 M'gladbach

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Hoffenheim 46% X · 24% 2 · M'gladbach 30%
Over 2.5 goals70%
Both teams to score71%
Expected goals2.02 – 1.62
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 9, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.